Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 60.760164 69.010108 77.503138 86.866779 96.868509 107.201735 118.654236
2025-05-04 47.457429 59.092553 71.680918 86.175615 102.274408 119.487666 139.167422
2025-05-11 39.240488 52.561335 67.534708 85.328249 105.632188 127.841703 153.742812
2025-05-18 33.832227 48.392930 65.316572 85.966132 110.048463 136.864576 168.615003
2025-05-25 28.939761 44.205406 62.536491 85.463761 112.736620 143.587559 180.596907
2025-06-01 25.292393 41.125335 60.721680 85.779524 116.103107 150.866617 193.027307
2025-06-08 21.632123 37.627470 58.065329 84.792258 117.688885 155.892929 202.710031
2025-06-15 19.454085 35.870633 57.417967 86.116294 121.919489 163.921262 215.805849
2025-06-22 17.606626 34.374393 56.957248 87.551531 126.192549 171.936306 228.845819
2025-06-29 15.192485 31.810195 54.890273 86.780379 127.622848 176.463675 237.703074
2025-07-06 12.655412 28.775433 51.966960 84.715615 127.291697 178.753413 243.808752
2025-07-13 12.055986 28.700717 53.109950 87.975878 133.657944 189.176422 259.650893
2025-07-20 11.075696 27.933080 53.243999 89.900690 138.373568 197.663185 273.288515
2025-07-27 9.511020 26.008944 51.591039 89.325306 139.825314 202.106559 282.037731
2025-08-03 8.056112 24.079556 49.792197 88.439549 140.789672 205.883846 289.931381
2025-08-10 7.119180 22.971866 49.147987 89.094227 143.723572 212.088616 300.773955
2025-08-17 6.040363 21.431012 47.730802 88.580619 145.058517 216.249741 309.086712
2025-08-24 5.245471 20.338392 46.940784 88.903215 147.465273 221.737865 319.021521
2025-08-31 4.311317 18.776439 45.286195 87.894777 148.027144 224.845417 325.984741
2025-09-07 3.860216 18.230034 45.263458 89.247170 151.765494 231.998487 337.977232
2025-09-14 3.468507 17.758729 45.331730 90.712943 155.648721 239.337870 350.212503
2025-09-21 2.815890 16.482134 43.934182 89.925409 156.402496 242.625325 357.367602
2025-09-28 2.104412 14.818101 41.727556 87.816489 155.260145 243.409432 361.341880